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The Ghost of the 20/11 Rule: Week 15

The one thing the Liga MX crowd always says is that managers need more patience. No team has any patience, managers must have success the second or two seconds after the start, if they can’t, well then goodbye to ya! Six months is all ya get to figure something out. The way the system works incentivizes quick results over anything else, a coach that can get a team to liguilla in under 10 games is more desirable than others who need more time. But have we asked ourselves, how long is a long-term project? A full year? Or is a year of working with the same players not long enough to reach the level of play you want from the team? Not every manager can get the Guardiola-Jurgen Klopp treatment of half a decade project with millions of dollars to buy any player they so desire. Sometimes we have to be able to recognize which managers have the capacity, intellect, and foresight, to deserve having a long-term project. Not every manager is worthy of one or two years at the helm of a team. What can you really expect from giving El Chelis a year? Or Rafa Puente Jr? Or Sergio Bueno? We must acknowledge that only the best managers should receive the vote of confidence for long-term projects, a mediocre manager will only create a mediocre team, no matter how much time and patience you give them.
Abbreviated Rule:
The 20/11 Rule 3.0 states that every team must field Formed in Mexico U-22 players (Born in 1998 or later) for at least 1,000 minutes. Players born in 1998 can provide fifty percent of minutes from each match, while players born in 1999 or later can make the 1,000 minutes, or one hundred percent. If a team fails to meet this requirement by the end of the season they will face a 3 point penalty at the end of the season. A team cannot exceed 270 minutes per game, regardless of how many players are on the field.
National Team Rule/Loophole:
The exception to this rule is the National Team, any player that participated with any National Team during the season, excluding FIFA international breaks, can apply those minutes to this requirement, regardless of whether they played or not. However, the team must field this player for at least 50 minutes in order to keep those National Team minutes at the end of the season. Failing to do so would result in a loss of said minutes.
Team Table
Teams Week 1 Minutes (# of Kids) Week 2 Minutes (# of kids) Week 3 Minutes (# of kids) Week 4 Minutes (# of kids) Week 5 Minutes (# of kids) Week 6 Minutes (# of kids) Week 7 Minutes (# of kids) Week 8 Minutes (# of kids) Week 9 Minutes (# of kids) Week 10 Minutes (# of kids) Week 11 Minutes (# of kids) Week 12 Minutes (# of kids) Week 13 Minutes (# of kids) Week 14 Minutes (# of kids) Week 15 Minutes (# of kids) Raw Total League Minutes 98 Kids Minutes 99 and Under Kids Minutes Total Minutes Have They Met The Requirement?
America 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 23(1) 0(0) 90(1) 90(1) 90(1) 0(0) 45(1) 52(1) 90(1) 0(0) 0(0) 480 0 480 480 No
Atlas 282(5) 191(4) 136(4) 189(3) 109(3) 90(1) 108(2) 118(4) 187(3) 133(3) 177(3) 181(4) 144(3) 121(3) 135(4) 2301 673 812.5 1485.5 Yes
Atlético de San Luis 0(0) 90(1) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 6(1) 0(0) 90(1) 64(1) 90(1) 90(1) 83(2) 90(1) 39(2) 552 235 82 317 No
Club Tijuana 154(3) 99(2) 270(3) 313(5) 239(4) 224(5) 214(4) 202(3) 200(1) 248(3) 286(5) 235(3) 235(3) 253(4) 180(3) 3361 226 2906 3132 Yes
Cruz Azul 52(2) 70(3) 65(3) 90(2) 107(2) 166(2) 96(2) 120(4) 215(4) 135(3) 169(3) 94(3) 180(4) 116(2) 11(1) 1686 183.5 1135 1318.5 Yes
FC Juárez 10(2) 42(2) 45(2) 0(0) 0(0) 6(1) 13(1) 11(1) 0(0) 0(0) 52(1) 0(0) 135(2) 231(3) 157(2) 702 232.5 237 469.5 No
Gallos Blancos 20(1) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 20 10 0 10 No
Guadalajara 180(2) 241(4) 234(4) 232(3) 260(4) 258(4) 256(3) 225(3) 245(3) 189(3) 180(2) 180(3) 90(2) 113(3) 209(3) 3092 252 2584 2836 Yes
León 56(1) 13(1) 14(1) 4(1) 14(1) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 10(1) 2(1) 14(1) 0(0) 0(0) 1(1) 128 0 128 128 No
Mazatlán FC 153(2) 163(2) 180(3) 195(4) 90(1) 118(2) 62(1) 75(1) 45(1) 91(2) 169(2) 270(4) 191(3) 174(3) 90(2) 2066 14.5 2030 2044.5 Yes
Necaxa 110(1) 46(3) 103(2) 116(2) 135(2) 120(2) 170(3) 180(3) 180(2) 160(2) 185(4) 214(3) 190(3) 181(3) 177(5) 2267 495.5 1278 1773.5 Yes
Pachuca 180(3) 237(5) 190(4) 254(4) 135(3) 175(3) 96(3) 135(2) 180(2) 176(4) 206(4) 188(3) 270(4) 248(4) 249(4) 2918 0 2918 2918 Yes
Puebla 90(1) 71(1) 45(1) 54(1) 0(0) 169(3) 87(1) 214(3) 180(3) 161(3) 63(1) 45(1) 56(1) 0(0) 90(1) 1325 544.5 236 780.5 No
Rayados de Monterrey 44(3) 18(1) 67(2) 92(3) 16(2) 2(2) 13(1) 16(2) 41(2) 40(3) 56(2) 45(2) 91(2) 1(1) 181(4) 723 0 723 723 No
Santos Laguna 183(4) 161(2) 270(5) 270(5) 249(4) 173(4) 189(4) 146(2) 111(2) 125(5) 34(4) 133(3) 104(3) 120(3) 180(3) 2449 875.5 697 1572.5 Yes
Tigres de la U.A.N.L. 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 0(0) 90(1) 120(2) 1(1) 12(1) 0(0) 0(0) 58(1) 0(0) 0(0) 12(1) 0(0) 293 12 269 281 No
Toluca 9(1) 5(1) 0(0) 31(2) 45(1) 123(3) 340(3) 124(2) 127(3) 153(2) 180(3) 105(2) 180(2) 98(3) 127(3) 1647 84 1266 1350 Yes
Universidad Nacional 262(3) 193(5) 315(5) 258(6) 172(4) 493(6) 346(5) 315(5) 242(3) 208(4) 209(3) 180(2) 196(3) 240(3) 112(3) 3741 622 2450 3072 Yes
Liga MX A20 U-22 Player List
Teams Player Name Age Year Minutes in Week 1 Minutes in Week 2 Minutes in Week 3 Minutes in Week 4 Minutes in Week 5 Minutes in Week 6 Minutes in Week 7 Minutes in Week 8 Minutes in Week 9 Minutes in Week 10 Minutes in Week 11 Minutes in Week 12 Minutes in Week 13 Minutes in Week 14 Minutes in Week 15 Total
America Ramón Juárez 19 2001 0 0 0 0 23 0 90 90 90 0 45 52 90 0 0 480
Atlas Alan Reyes 19 2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 0 0 23 0 0 0 34
Atlas Brayton Vázquez 22 1998 59 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 0 76 163
Atlas Christopher Trejo 20 1999 0 0 0 22 13 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 1 43
Atlas Jairo Mungaray 19 2001 7 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
Atlas Jesús Angulo 22 1998 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 13 1273
Atlas Jonathan Herrera 19 2001 0 0 18 77 6 0 0 10 0 10 0 1 0 9 0 131
Atlas Ángel Márquez 20 2000 65 90 0 0 0 0 0 17 87 33 80 67 27 0 0 466
Atlas Ían Torres 20 2000 61 1 27 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 45 174
Atlético de San Luis Pablo López 22 1998 0 31 0 0 0 0 6 0 90 64 90 90 70 90 29 560
Atlético de San Luis Ricardo García 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 10 23
Atlético de San Luis Uziel García 19 2001 0 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59
Club Tijuana Edgar López 21 1999 45 9 0 31 11 63 45 90 65 90 0 61 55 26 45 636
Club Tijuana Gerson Vázquez 19 2001 0 0 0 31 0 1 0 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 48
Club Tijuana Luis Gamíz 20 2000 0 0 90 71 79 27 32 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 0 344
Club Tijuana Marcel Ruiz 19 2000 0 0 90 90 59 63 58 22 45 68 45 0 0 64 45 649
Club Tijuana Vladimir Loroña 21 1998 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 90 90 90 73 0 452
Club Tijuana Víctor Guzmán 18 2002 90 90 90 90 90 90 79 90 90 0 90 90 90 90 90 1249
Cruz Azul Alexis Gutiérrez 20 2000 26 19 0 0 0 0 21 15 13 45 79 0 17 0 0 235
Cruz Azul Josué Domínguez 20 1999 26 19 14 12 43 0 0 15 13 7 0 4 62 0 0 215
Cruz Azul Roberto Alvarado 21 1998 0 0 45 0 0 76 0 29 77 0 11 20 28 90 11 387
Cruz Azul Santiago Giménez 19 2001 32 32 6 78 64 90 75 61 22 83 79 70 73 26 0 791
FC Juárez Francisco Contreras 21 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 66 67 146
FC Juárez Francisco Nevarez 19 2000 9 41 41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90
FC Juárez José Esquivel 22 1998 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 0 90 75 90 309
FC Juárez Luis Hernández 22 1998 1 0 4 0 0 6 0 11 0 0 0 0 45 90 0 157
Gallos Blancos Javier Ibarra 22 1998 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
Guadalajara Alan Torres 20 2000 0 0 34 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35
Guadalajara Fernando Beltrán 22 1998 0 0 0 84 80 76 76 45 65 9 0 5 23 16 29 508
Guadalajara Gilberto Sepúlveda 21 1999 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 0 16 90 1186
Guadalajara José Macías 20 1999 90 90 71 58 89 90 90 90 90 90 90 85 67 81 90 1261
Guadalajara Sebastián Martínez 19 2001 0 45 39 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 86
Guadalajara Zahid Muñoz 19 2001 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
León Armando León 20 2000 56 13 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 0 0 0 99
León Fidel Ambríz 17 2003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
León Jesse Zamudio 21 1999 0 0 14 4 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 28
Mazatlán FC Carlos Vargas 21 1999 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 24 50 5 344
Mazatlán FC César Huerta 19 2000 73 90 66 90 90 90 62 75 45 90 79 90 90 90 85 1205
Mazatlán FC Iván Moreno 22 1998 0 0 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28
Mazatlán FC Ricardo Marín 22 1998 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazatlán FC Roberto Meráz 20 1999 80 73 24 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 90 90 77 34 0 483
Mazatlán FC Sagir Arce 18 2002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 5
Necaxa Alejandro Andrade 19 2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 1 1 16
Necaxa Alejandro Zendejas 22 1998 0 0 12 0 45 32 62 27 90 90 90 79 86 90 89 792
Necaxa Alán Montes 19 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 23
Necaxa Idekel Domínguez 20 2000 0 0 90 90 90 90 80 90 90 70 45 90 90 90 63 1068
Necaxa José Cobián 21 1998 65 18 1 26 0 0 28 63 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 219
Necaxa Oscar Millán 19 2001 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 0 42
Necaxa Raúl Sandoval 20 2000 45 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 0 0 1 109
Pachuca Efraín Orona 21 1999 0 79 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 15 0 0 5 3 0 106
Pachuca Erick Sánchez 20 1999 32 45 28 90 89 75 90 90 90 45 90 90 85 90 69 1098
Pachuca Francisco Figueroa 21 1999 0 57 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 88
Pachuca Josué Gómez 21 1999 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 21
Pachuca Kevin Álvarez 21 1999 90 45 90 86 0 45 3 45 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 1034
Pachuca Roberto de la Rosa 20 2000 58 11 62 61 45 55 0 0 0 26 22 8 90 65 69 572
Puebla Daniel Aguilar 22 1998 0 0 0 0 0 32 0 90 12 90 0 0 0 0 90 314
Puebla Israel Reyes 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 58 0 55 78 45 0 0 0 0 0 236
Puebla Salvador Reyes 22 1998 90 71 45 54 0 79 87 69 90 26 63 45 56 0 0 775
Rayados de Monterrey Ángel Zapata 19 2001 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 1
Rayados de Monterrey Daniel Parra 21 1999 26 0 57 90 0 0 0 0 15 22 28 30 90 1 0 359
Rayados de Monterrey Eric Cantú 21 1999 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 28 0 0 0 90 46
Rayados de Monterrey Luis Sánchez 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Rayados de Monterrey Shayr Mohamed 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 45 2
Rayados de Monterrey Jonathan González 21 1999 9 18 0 1 4 0 13 8 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 62
Rayados de Monterrey José Alvarado 20 2000 0 0 10 1 12 0 0 8 26 0 0 15 0 0 0 72
Santos Laguna Adrián Lozano 21 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 73 0 0 13 26 13 18 0 198
Santos Laguna Alan Cervantes 22 1998 19 90 90 90 90 90 90 73 45 15 4 90 90 90 90 1056
Santos Laguna Edgar Games 19 2001 0 0 80 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 125
Santos Laguna Eduardo Aguirre 21 1998 65 71 73 60 52 55 35 0 0 25 13 17 1 0 73 540
Santos Laguna Gerardo Arteaga 21 1998 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90
Santos Laguna Jair González 18 2002 0 0 0 0 0 22 9 0 66 45 0 0 0 0 0 142
Santos Laguna Jesús Ocejo 22 1998 0 0 17 0 17 0 0 0 0 15 4 0 0 12 0 65
Santos Laguna Jonathan Díaz 21 1999 0 0 10 45 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 145
Santos Laguna Jordan Carrillo 18 2001 9 0 0 30 0 6 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 70
Santos Laguna Santiago Muñóz 18 2002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 17
Tigres de la U.A.N.L. Carlos Galindo 20 2000 0 0 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 180
Tigres de la U.A.N.L. Francisco Venegas 22 1998 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Tigres de la U.A.N.L. Juan Sánchez 22 1998 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 12
Tigres de la U.A.N.L. Raymundo Fulgencio 18 2001 0 0 0 0 0 30 1 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 0 89
Toluca Brandon Sartiaguin 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 73 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 0 0 613
Toluca Diego Abella 21 1998 9 0 0 0 0 25 9 0 6 63 56 0 0 0 0 168
Toluca Giovanny León 20 2000 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 16
Toluca Isaías Violante 17 2003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4
Toluca Iván Acero 20 2000 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Toluca Kevin Castañeda 20 1999 0 0 0 21 45 25 28 34 31 0 34 15 0 4 26 263
Toluca Oscar Ortega 20 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 90 90 270
Universidad Nacional Amaury García 18 2001 0 1 15 66 0 45 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 135
Universidad Nacional Brian Figueroa 21 1999 0 12 0 0 0 0 4 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29
Universidad Nacional Carlos Gutiérrez 21 1999 88 12 90 90 30 78 72 77 62 82 29 90 89 60 21 970
Universidad Nacional Erik Lira 20 2000 0 0 0 6 7 90 90 90 90 28 90 0 17 90 1 599
Universidad Nacional Jerónimo Rodríguez 21 1999 84 78 90 54 45 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 441
Universidad Nacional Jesús Rivas 17 2002 0 0 45 6 0 90 90 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 276
Universidad Nacional Johan Vásquez 21 1998 90 90 75 36 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 1281
Former 20/11 Rule Player Development Table
Teams Player Name Age Year Minutes in Week 1 Minutes in Week 2 Minutes in Week 3 Minutes in Week 4 Minutes in Week 5 Minutes in Week 6 Minutes in Week 7 Minutes in Week 8 Minutes in Week 9 Minutes in Week 10 Minutes in Week 11 Minutes in Week 12 Minutes in Week 13 Minutes in Week 14 Minutes in Week 15
América Antonio López 23 1997 0 62 60 1 0 0 11 26 40 0 23 0 0 0 0
América Francisco Córdova 23 1997 90 77 90 89 90 90 79 45 40 33 90 70 90 90 73
América Jorge Sánchez 22 1997 90 90 90 0 0 0 90 90 90 90 90 90 0 90 90
Atlas Edyairth Ortega 23 1997 7 0 0 5 6 12 20 0 0 0 10 0 0 22 14
Club Tijuana Aldo Cruz 22 1997 0 45 16 10 0 0 58 12 14 0 90 73 90 17 45
Club Tijuana Paolo Yrizar 22 1997 9 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cruz Azul Josué Reyes 22 1997 0 0 90 90 90 0 90 0 0 3 0 0 90 90 0
Guadalajara Carlos Antuna 22 1997 0 45 85 75 66 0 25 69 65 45 90 65 85 81 86
Guadalajara Cristian Calderón 23 1997 45 90 90 0 24 25 0 45 90 64 59 90 87 0 4
Guadalajara Ernesto Vega 22 1997 0 0 0 32 0 0 90 74 90 90 83 65 85 68 90
Guadalajara Jesús Angulo 23 1997 65 74 19 75 66 0 65 21 25 45 17 25 67 74 61
Guadalajara Ronaldo Cisneros 23 1997 0 0 0 15 24 65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mazatlán FC Ricardo Gutiérrez 23 1997 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 0 0
Leon José Godínez 23 1997 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0
Necaxa Luis Malagón 23 1997 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 0 0 90 90 90 90
Pachuca Erick Aguirre 23 1997 90 90 45 90 90 90 90 45 0 0 0 0 90 90 90
Rayados de Monterrey Carlos Rodríguez 23 1997 81 90 66 89 86 77 90 90 90 81 84 69 29 0 0
Rayados de Monterrey César Montes 23 1997 90 90 33 0 0 90 90 90 90 90 56 0 0 90 90
Santos Laguna Ismael Govea 23 1997 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Santos Laguna Ronaldo Prieto 23 1997 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Toluca Adrián Mora 22 1997 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 0 90 90 90 5 0 0 5
Toluca Alan Medina 22 1997 64 65 32 69 45 65 82 56 59 0 55 85 11 12 0
Universidad Nacional Alan Mozo 23 1997 45 34 0 84 90 0 0 45 90 90 79 58 90 90 90
Universidad Nacional Bryan Mendoza 22 1997 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 13 10 20 11 0 1 0 0
Universidad Nacional Manuel Mayorga 23 1997 6 12 0 0 0 0 90 90 80 90 90 90 90 90 90
Total 864 1134 896 904 868 694 1154 901 1053 834 1017 875 1085 994 925
Team Ranking
Ranking Teams
1 Universidad Nacional
2 Club Tijuana
3 Guadalajara
4 Pachuca
5 Santos Laguna
6 Atlas
7 Necaxa
8 Mazatlán FC
9 Cruz Azul
10 Toluca
11 Puebla
12 Rayados de Monterrey
13 FC Juárez
14 Atlético de San Luis
15 America
16 Tigres de la U.A.N.L.
17 León
18 Gallos Blancos
The Sauce
J1, J2, J3, J4, J5, J6, J7, J8, J9, J10, J11, J12, J13, J14
submitted by ZeroLolisPlan to LigaMX

Follow up $VALE DD and addressing concerns

Follow up $VALE DD and addressing concerns
MESSAGE FOR MODS**:** I got approval via modmail to post on a friends account because my main account is suspended on reddit for 3 days because I said “f*ggot” in a private message...
TLDR;
  • Play 10/2 $11.50c for battery day speculation
  • Play 3/19/21 $12.00c for long term Q4/Q1 ER
  • VALE only fell 0.69% on Friday (page 9)
Posting from my friends account because my account was banned for using “f*ggot” in a private reddit dm… Mods please leave this up for transparency, I promised basically everyone playing $VALE I would update on Sunday. - u/ExtraEgg
Even though we all know some of the most profane language lives in wallstreetbets

https://preview.redd.it/honnqie4xdo51.png?width=374&format=png&auto=webp&s=ff6e8bd1b144437ad268d3b6adf8ac62356fb1b7
To be clear, the initial post was in no way promising a Tesla x Vale collab on battery day. The purpose of the post was to gather information and speculation about a potential EXPLOSIVE DREAM SHAKER options play.
First I would like to address the naysayers and conspiracies that have arised in the wake of a frustrating quad witching/bloody/currency fluctuating trading day.

https://preview.redd.it/9p1tut46xdo51.jpg?width=622&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5eda1b638655ec8708ed985290831aec3d3d9933
Multiple People
For full transparency, the DD post was written by me, however three of my trading friends kept sending me links and DD that they were finding. So while there is some truth to your statement, it is nowhere near as sinister as imagined.

https://preview.redd.it/nfcxu287xdo51.jpg?width=618&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5550e115d1eeeac654ee683624668d5b50dc2b22
“The Awards”
I have no idea why people dump money on awards. Personally I think it is gay and I would rather put that money in a VALE yolo. When the post initially went live, all was well and it was on it’s way to being #1. People were praising me as “DD god” and the comments piling in. About 6 hours after the post went live, it started to get “lost” behind other satire posts and low quality content. I was confused as to why because the post seemed like it was getting a lot of traction and appreciation. (97% upvote ratio) My theory is that somehow it was being pushed down. I have no evidence for this claim but this could explain the crazy award to like ratio.
“Boofin on Vyvanse”
Can confirm this is accurate. The smoke on the west coast makes going outside very uncomfortable (coming from someone who doesn’t like huddling indoors) I decided to start writing the DD at 1am. Wrote an outline. Woke up for the market open, spent 16 hours writing it and not trading. Read over it and then decided to post the next day.

https://preview.redd.it/2tz63hl9xdo51.jpg?width=600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d17e9915eab55b60127d708bcd0f9e465d37dab9
u/nanaboostme
u/nanaboostme has been my biggest follower since I posted the $VALE DD. He/She believes that I am the “elaborate RKT post”.
  • At the time of RKT chatter, I was working overtime and had no time to play options. I never even saw the RKT post.
  • Never once have I traded RKT or even had it on my watchlist
  • u/nanaboostme has no evidence to support his claim. Unless we are doing guilty until proven innocent in WSB, I do not think I need to say more.
"Outsider"
Video of me doing a flip in the rain
“Unprofitable Theta Gang Ploy”

https://preview.redd.it/fj5a22ucxdo51.jpg?width=620&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4b4a64e75506b6c4e5e8f37b149385f5d9ee83b8
Since the inception of the VALE DD post, the day of, NO new contracts in the 9/25 chain have been opened. O/I stayed at 2863 and volume was some outrageous 30,000-40,000. Selling theta on those would have granted you a whopping 0.0083% return before option fees. My portfolio also shows I have no short calls.

https://preview.redd.it/fwl2legexdo51.jpg?width=1664&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=674ddc115083a35d2bc5db837aeb1a6f3d5cd0f0
PRPL Vibes

https://preview.redd.it/kg84n8iixdo51.jpg?width=1082&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9ea009c681e20cf9dbfd7341e73b15b51c43d95a
I am aware that there are legitimate pump and dump schemes that pass through wallstreetbets quarterly. I usually do not buy into DD posts. It's not my style. It can work very well though as seen with VALE on 9/17/2020. In fact I was the one who called Tanker gangs bluff, they had run too hard into ER and it was so predictable The post has since been deleted but I commented my take on it and got downvoted to earth's core.
“When they send pumpers, they’re not sending their best, folks”

https://preview.redd.it/9oera5sjxdo51.jpg?width=1081&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f1d209998b992d67a0cd095007e340fff2e4872c
u/CHAINSAW_VASECTOMY warns “be careful who you take “advice” from”. My post is educational and entertaining. No where in the post did I rush readers to BUY IN QUICK or to ACT FAST. I even had a disclaimer at the bottom:
“ disclaimer: none of this is financial advice, this is for educational and entertainment purposes only. nothing in this post should be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment.”
Why did u/CHAINSAW_VASECTOMY post this?
The night of 9/17/20, I wanted to create humor around the culture of $VALE GANG, so I made a video post titled “$VALE GANG TRAILER”. This was shadowbanned from the subreddit and was only viewable if you had a direct link. :/
I end up deleting the post and telling my friend to post it. Everyone is loving it, tons of feedback, medals, upvotes. WSB comradery was at an all time high.

https://preview.redd.it/5u9apc8nxdo51.jpg?width=918&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=40da4139771c904b5742bda9b9a526a7333505f4
Then suddenly we notice the post is not available on the Top, Hot, sort by new. Nowhere to be found. A couple minutes later it was outright deleted. I message a couple mods, no response. My friend who posted $VALE GANG TRAILER got banned from wallstreetbets.
Quote a fallen soldier
"On the pinned “advice” post, Mods heavily implied with only omission of name that Vale was a pump and dump and attacked my credibility and motives, when pressed in the comments they backtracked. Saying that my post was well made and they had no issues with it, however this is not true. I was shadow banned for my post and refused explanation from mods at all."From this youtube video

https://preview.redd.it/0gy05m6qxdo51.jpg?width=821&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9de21b20ff00b3c39abd81956a9d7cd37760ee2b
Then u/CHAINSAW_VASECTOMY posts his pinned post about being wary with “advice”. I get to respond once in the comments. A couple minutes later u/CHAINSAW_VASECTOMY responds and locks the post. This was the start of the chaos.
Also, the VALE DD post was buried as well, bad algo? Or jealous mods? Only assuming because the conversation was cut short.

Video not on hot(videos were being (fucky) Video not on day top
“He’s a Fraud!”
After u/CHAINSAW_VASECTOMY’s post went live, I was bombarded with naysayers and angry individuals. No, I am not selling you those dirt cheap contracts. No, I am not working for Goldman Sachs. No, I am not using WSB to bring volume into an options chain. One of my main reasons for entry in $VALE was the unusual activity coming from whales.

https://preview.redd.it/dbru0bttxdo51.jpg?width=1036&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fc3da2d913c8ed5fe6e9c8a1eb9087087c8c9609
The 1/15/21 chain was especially flooded with whale volume. I will explain the updated whale activity down below in the DD. I am still holding my positions and do not need WSB to pump my contracts. I’m relying on a price action movement to bring intrinsic value into my contract. I’M NOT FUCKING SELLING!
Shifting burden of persuasion
When I am accused of shilling/pumping/being an outsidepumping/baiting/selling contracts to buyers, the need for evidence or fact is absent. There is no evidence that indicates I was intentionally posting the DD with sinister motives. However, now that I am on my heels with no factual claims being made, I have to rewrite the constitution to prove my innocence. If a Mod wants to remove/shadowban, ideally they must have some evidence in order to do so. Otherwise their range of power is larger than acceptable. They could ban or not ban anything without justification or evidence. If abused this is a very dangerous system of management. The Mods shift the burden of persuasion on the author who is banned from the subreddit and has no platform to preach. Technically what I am doing is against WSB rules. Posting on an alt account if your main is banned. I had to deliver though, too many eager eyes waiting for this follow up. To conclude, WSB ban policy needs to be reworked.
If my credibility is restored, continue to read the updated DD
What was missed in first post
A theory was floating around that the $5 billion in debt that VALE paid off, was funded by Tesla. The debt was disbursed in March 2020, during the covid crash. $2 billion was due by June 2022 and $3 billion was due December 2024. Tesla raised $5 billion capital through shares. Tesla said they intend to use the cash to “strengthen its balance sheet and for general corporate purposes”. That is a pretty broad statement. An analyst from Roth Capital partners said “They will need cash for all the facilities they are building, and new growth initiatives,”(Reuters)
The connection people were making, is that Tesla raised capital to give Vale. Both articles wet public within 24 hours of each other.
VALE DRILLING :(”
Yes but no. After a shoot up in the morning, VALE fell for a couple of reasons
  • Entire Market was bloody
  • Quad witching madness
  • Exchange rate fluctuations

https://preview.redd.it/xb0perowxdo51.jpg?width=368&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=00ecbba08c28d7205431ceeb9818929d7fd635c2

https://preview.redd.it/flfiv9gxxdo51.jpg?width=692&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0544f56dfcb616ec78000761467f01be4bb766ca
Close price on the brazilian exchange was 61.66/5.3876 =$11.44
This is why after hours, VALE was hanging around 11.44 but now the dip is being bought so it is back up to $11.59. What to take away: Vales down movement today was closer to -0.69%. The rest was currency fluctuation. A little unfortunate but that’s what we get for playing a brazilian rock farm.What were the whales doing?

https://preview.redd.it/syidbj4zxdo51.png?width=1812&format=png&auto=webp&s=3dc4710c842fecef2e411c94adc45cc716225bcb
Today from market open until 9:55, ALL the FlowAlgo was bullish

The whales were also buying into the 10/16 call contracts HARD. I’m cautiously optimistic. While the Najarian brothers live by following the Smart Money, it seems like it could be a lure.
Whales probably know we love VALE and they saw the 10/16 chain was empty, so they got in and are going to price fix it now, like how you would price fix the market in FIFA Ultimate Team.
10/16 also does not cover any earnings or special dates, just random.
Today was another high volume day for shares and options.
Volume: 46,142,890
Options volume

https://preview.redd.it/yrgkxkc1ydo51.jpg?width=829&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=24178d0e093b3238131d6efb2f93796ca9eca61e
While the general sentiment among the options chain is bullish, there was an increase in p/c ratio for O/I

https://preview.redd.it/oeqg7c34ydo51.jpg?width=204&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=007805ab2c362fb12a8f8435c755a5b141921c26
What this means is that the majority of trading was bullish today. Roughly 1 put was traded for every 11 calls. However, the open interest is now showing Roughly 1.17 puts exist for every 1 call. Whether these are “sell to open” puts is another question. The general sentiment in the options chain is still bullish. P/C ratio can be very misleading, going into ERIC Q2, the P/C was 11. That means there were 11 puts for every 1 call. ERIC beat earnings and then gapped up.
My reaction to today’s movement was the following. A perfect day to scare retail traders away,
Friday nerves holding into the weekend combined with a currency fluctuation. Buy low, sell high.
I bought more positions today.

What’s keeping me bullish?
Everything from my initial DD post and some new information is keeping me bullish. VALE is not a meme stock. They are pretty well established and very large, just underlooked by retail. Whales continuing to pile in is keeping me bullish, along with the sneaky upgrades from Thursday and Friday.
GIGA metals is extremely bearish right now, CEO and Execs sold shares at the top and they have been getting beat down for three straight days.
Najarian is very outspoken about his VALE position on CNBC. 2 days in a row he mentioned it. He is both long stock and long calls.

VALE EV PRESENTATION 2018
A lot of good information on demand for nickel was in Vale’s presentation

https://preview.redd.it/hkp7yuv6ydo51.png?width=2308&format=png&auto=webp&s=a4306c23d6f37d697c8af77145f0ce1827711ddb
The Nickel demand in 2018 was benchmarked at 38 in comparison to a 260/590 (conservative/upside) by 2025 and 890/1700 by 2030.
Nickel demand for batteries wass 3% of the market in 2017. It is projected to be 37% of the market in 2030.
Vale gives a disclaimer that the variance of range is 50% to the upside and 50% to the conservative side.
This growth alone is reason to long VALE.
WSB comments
Because I am banned, I cannot see the comments anymore. However, their were some interesting comments in the original VALE DD post. Those that I recall are
  • Friend works at VALE, can’t say anything but I am holding a lot of calls
  • Apparently, there was a meeting in toronto between VALE and Tesla
  • Someone said that he orders 70k every month (or year I forgot) from VALE and they are a good company
Interpret how you will, comments could be fake.
Ex Dividend date
Many expressed concern that the ex dividend date would be devastating for the 9/25 calls. This is true, but at the same time if the big news comes out on batteryday/ex date. The price action could plow through ex date. This is also why I have longer expiration calls.
In Tesla’s Q2 earnings call, they mentioned the word “nickel” that alone was enough to get the mining stocks to move up.
If nothing happens
If there is no mention of VALE or nickel on battery day, the stock will be hard to dump because VALE has 5 billion outstanding shares. Compared to LAC, who rallied 10% on Friday, the have 90 million outstanding shares.
THE TWEETS

https://preview.redd.it/un5h51t8ydo51.jpg?width=364&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6a1cf38a9dbc056e7d4863b48affe5b0ce27fa03
“Speedrunning Factorio in real life …”
Factorio’s game description

https://preview.redd.it/zw68pm5aydo51.jpg?width=544&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=62feefd344e670b72d0009e926e425774eb609cf
I rest my case
Conclusion
VALE has potential for explosive movement on 9/22. If nothing happens on 9/22 there is still reason to long the stock and load up on longer expiration calls/leaps and continue to roll.
Positions
VALE shares, 9/25 $13.00c, 1/15/21 $12.00c, 3/19/21 $12.00c, 10/2 $11.50c
disclaimer: none of this is financial advice, this is for educational and entertainment purposes only. nothing in this post should be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment.
submitted by randallweinsteingi to wallstreetbets

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